Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.036392 0.042366 0.049009 0.056944 0.066165 0.076547 0.089126
2025-11-16 0.026659 0.034340 0.043769 0.056201 0.072169 0.092008 0.118567
2025-11-23 0.020922 0.029143 0.040039 0.055544 0.077064 0.105922 0.147649
2025-11-30 0.017626 0.026183 0.038264 0.056569 0.083648 0.122314 0.181891
2025-12-07 0.014798 0.023238 0.035817 0.055941 0.087394 0.134804 0.211976
2025-12-14 0.012436 0.020518 0.033159 0.054384 0.089224 0.144335 0.238535
2025-12-21 0.010580 0.018258 0.030807 0.052824 0.090612 0.153067 0.264679
2025-12-28 0.009553 0.017184 0.030174 0.053910 0.096361 0.169428 0.305489
2026-01-04 0.008562 0.016012 0.029181 0.054175 0.100629 0.183670 0.344365
2026-01-11 0.007705 0.014944 0.028205 0.054290 0.104558 0.197676 0.384518
2026-01-18 0.007055 0.014164 0.027635 0.055044 0.109711 0.214456 0.431968
2026-01-25 0.006564 0.013619 0.027425 0.056439 0.116229 0.234538 0.488393
2026-02-01 0.005755 0.012339 0.025642 0.054512 0.115976 0.241558 0.519955
2026-02-08 0.005214 0.011542 0.024733 0.054268 0.119172 0.255984 0.569056
2026-02-15 0.004716 0.010765 0.023757 0.053740 0.121670 0.269228 0.617385
2026-02-22 0.004403 0.010352 0.023506 0.054756 0.127674 0.290721 0.686948
2026-03-01 0.004002 0.009682 0.022598 0.054153 0.129909 0.304105 0.739667
2026-03-08 0.003585 0.008918 0.021375 0.052647 0.129819 0.312138 0.780767
2026-03-15 0.003217 0.008220 0.020216 0.051138 0.129507 0.319581 0.821410
2026-03-22 0.003039 0.007972 0.020104 0.052189 0.135650 0.343322 0.906114
2026-03-29 0.002833 0.007623 0.019699 0.052446 0.139810 0.362671 0.982166
2026-04-05 0.002639 0.007278 0.019261 0.052557 0.143604 0.381562 1.059615
2026-04-12 0.002491 0.007038 0.019066 0.053287 0.149149 0.405699 1.154636